Value bet: Juventude to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSport Recife to win ✓40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓7% · fair 14.06
Sport Recife vs Juventude: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Juventude travel to face Sport Recife on Saturday 19 September in the Serie B, with Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Sport Recife are 9th, upper half, on 55 points after 37 matches; Juventude are 2nd (among the top four) with 68. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sport Recife, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CRB, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Juventude, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Athletic Club, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Juventude, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Sport Recife.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Juventude 0–1 Sport Recife.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sport Recife 1.1 xG, Juventude 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Recife 40%, draw 25%, Juventude 35%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Juventude to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Recife 1–1 Juventude. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sport Recife40%fair 2.47 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.90
Juventude35%fair 2.87 · @3.10
2.00Expected goals
1.05Sport Recife xG
0.95Juventude xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sport Recife 1.1 – 0.9 Juventude expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs Juventude?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Juventude?
On our numbers Sport Recife have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Juventude 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Juventude?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Juventude?
Our predicted score is Sport Recife 1–1 Juventude, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sport Recife vs Juventude?
Sport Recife vs Juventude (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
