Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Goias to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGoias to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceGoias or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.89
Goias vs Avai: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Goias v Avai in the Serie B, played at Estádio da Serrinha. In the table, Goias are 7th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Avai are 17th (lower half) with 40. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Goias, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Botafogo SP, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Avai, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vila Nova, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Avai 0–2 Goias.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Goias 1.6 xG, Avai 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Goias 62%, draw 24%, Avai 14%.
Lower-risk option: Goias or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Goias to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Goias or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Goias 1–0 Avai. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Goias62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.10
Avai14%fair 7.08 · @4.20
2.27Expected goals
1.64Goias xG
0.63Avai xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Goias 1.6 – 0.6 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Goias or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Goias vs Avai?
On our numbers Goias have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Avai 14%.
How many goals will there be in Goias vs Avai?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goias vs Avai?
Our predicted score is Goias 1–0 Avai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Goias vs Avai?
Goias vs Avai (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Serrinha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
