Value bet: Fortaleza EC to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFortaleza EC to win ✓43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.98
Londrina vs Fortaleza EC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Serie B brings Londrina against Fortaleza EC at Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Londrina are 18th, in the drop zone, on 32 points after 37 matches; Fortaleza EC are 5th (upper half) with 62. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Londrina, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Ponte Preta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Fortaleza EC, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ceara, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Fortaleza EC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Londrina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Londrina 1.1 xG, Fortaleza EC 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Londrina 32%, draw 25%, Fortaleza EC 43%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Fortaleza EC to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Londrina 1–1 Fortaleza EC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Londrina32%fair 3.10 · @2.88
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.80
Fortaleza EC43%fair 2.34 · @2.50
2.34Expected goals
1.06Londrina xG
1.28Fortaleza EC xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Londrina 1.1 – 1.3 Fortaleza EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortaleza EC to win✓
43%
2.34
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Fortaleza EC (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Londrina +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Fortaleza EC to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortaleza EC / FT Fortaleza EC✓
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
11.98
–
Recent results
Londrina – last 6
WWLDLD
15 Sep
vs Ponte Preta
6–0
W
10 Sep
@ São Bernardo
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
1 Sep
vs Juventude
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Ceara
1–2
L
18 Aug
vs Atletico Goianiense
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fortaleza EC – last 6
DWWDWD
13 Sep
vs Ceara
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Avai
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Goias
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Operario-PR
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Criciuma
2–0
W
19 Aug
vs São Bernardo
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Londrina and Fortaleza EC.
What is the prediction for Londrina vs Fortaleza EC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Londrina vs Fortaleza EC?
On our numbers Londrina have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fortaleza EC 43%.
How many goals will there be in Londrina vs Fortaleza EC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Londrina vs Fortaleza EC?
Our predicted score is Londrina 1–1 Fortaleza EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Londrina vs Fortaleza EC?
Londrina vs Fortaleza EC (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
