Goias 59%Draw 27%Athletic Club 15%Expected goals 1.60 – 0.67
59%
Betarazi pick
Goias to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGoias to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceGoias or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.28
Goias vs Athletic Club: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 7 October the Serie B brings Goias against Athletic Club at Estádio da Serrinha. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Goias are 7th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Athletic Club are 14th (lower half) with 47.
Current form
Goias, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Novorizontino, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Athletic Club, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sport Recife, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Athletic Club 1–1 Goias.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Goias 1.6 xG, Athletic Club 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Goias 59%, draw 27%, Athletic Club 15%.
Lower-risk option: Goias or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Goias to win (59%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Goias 1–0 Athletic Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Goias59%fair 1.70 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.10
Athletic Club15%fair 6.82 · @4.50
2.27Expected goals
1.60Goias xG
0.67Athletic Club xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Goias 1.6 – 0.7 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Goias vs Athletic Club?
Our pick is Goias to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Goias vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Goias have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Athletic Club 15%.
How many goals will there be in Goias vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goias vs Athletic Club?
Our predicted score is Goias 1–0 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Goias vs Athletic Club?
Goias vs Athletic Club (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Serrinha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
