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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ponte Preta v Juventude: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Moisés Lucarelli
0–2
FT
Ponte Preta 10%Draw 20%Juventude 70% Expected goals 0.46 – 1.75
70%
Betarazi pick

Juventude to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultJuventude to win ✓70% · @1.30
Double chanceJuventude or draw ✓90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.22

Ponte Preta vs Juventude: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:35 WAT, Wednesday 7 October: Ponte Preta v Juventude in the Serie B, played at Moisés Lucarelli. In the table, Ponte Preta are 20th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 37 matches; Juventude are 2nd (among the top four) with 68. There are 53 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ponte Preta, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cuiaba, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Juventude, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Operario-PR, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Juventude, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Ponte Preta.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Juventude 3–0 Ponte Preta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ponte Preta 0.5 xG, Juventude 1.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ponte Preta 10%, draw 20%, Juventude 70%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Juventude to win (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ponte Preta 0–1 Juventude. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ponte Preta10%fair 9.78 · @10.00
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.80
Juventude70%fair 1.43 · @1.30
2.21Expected goals
0.46Ponte Preta xG
1.75Juventude xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–119%
0–217%
0–011%
0–310%
1–19%
1–28%

From our goals model: Ponte Preta 0.5 – 1.7 Juventude expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuventude to win ✓70%1.431.30
Double chanceJuventude or draw ✓90%1.111.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.851.50
Draw no betJuventude (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapJuventude -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreJuventude to score first ✓70%1.42–
Half-time resultJuventude ahead at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juventude / FT Juventude ✓44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19%5.22–

Recent results

Ponte Preta – last 6

LLWLLL
3 Oct@ Cuiaba0–2L
29 Sep@ Botafogo SP0–2L
20 Sepvs CRB1–0W
15 Sep@ Londrina0–6L
11 Sep@ Sport Recife0–2L
6 Sepvs São Bernardo0–2L
0.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Juventude – last 6

WWLLWD
3 Octvs Operario-PR3–0W
28 Sep@ America Mineiro1–0W
19 Sep@ Sport Recife1–2L
13 Sepvs Athletic Club0–2L
9 Sep@ Criciuma2–0W
5 Sepvs Atletico Goianiense2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Jun 2026Juventude v Ponte Preta3–0
Ponte Preta vs Juventude head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ponte Preta vs Juventude?

Our pick is Juventude to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Ponte Preta vs Juventude?

On our numbers Ponte Preta have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Juventude 70%.

How many goals will there be in Ponte Preta vs Juventude?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ponte Preta vs Juventude?

Our predicted score is Ponte Preta 0–1 Juventude, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Ponte Preta vs Juventude?

Ponte Preta vs Juventude (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 01:35 (West Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.