Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Atletico Goianiense to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Goianiense to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceAtletico Goianiense or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.02
Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Serie B brings Atletico Goianiense against Sport Recife at Estadio Antonio Accioly. Kick-off: 20:10 WAT. In the table, Atletico Goianiense are 8th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Sport Recife are 9th (upper half) with 55. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atletico Goianiense, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to CRB, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sport Recife, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over São Bernardo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Jun 2026) it ended Sport Recife 1–1 Atletico Goianiense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Goianiense 1.7 xG, Sport Recife 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Goianiense 63%, draw 22%, Sport Recife 15%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Goianiense or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Atletico Goianiense to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Goianiense or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Sport Recife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Goianiense63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.40
Sport Recife15%fair 6.82 · @4.20
2.31Expected goals
1.67Atletico Goianiense xG
0.64Sport Recife xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Atletico Goianiense 1.7 – 0.6 Sport Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife?
Our pick is Atletico Goianiense or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife?
On our numbers Atletico Goianiense have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sport Recife 15%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife?
Our predicted score is Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Sport Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife?
Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 20:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Accioly.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
