Value bet: Ceara to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCeara to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceCeara or draw ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Ceara vs America Mineiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Serie B brings Ceara against America Mineiro. Kick-off: 23:15 WAT. In the table, Ceara are 16th, lower half, on 43 points after 37 matches; America Mineiro are 19th (in the drop zone) with 29. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ceara, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Athletic Club, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
America Mineiro, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Londrina, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Jul 2026) it ended America Mineiro 1–1 Ceara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ceara 1.7 xG, America Mineiro 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ceara 63%, draw 21%, America Mineiro 16%.
Lower-risk option: Ceara or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Ceara to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ceara 1–0 America Mineiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ceara63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
America Mineiro16%fair 6.24 · @4.75
2.39Expected goals
1.70Ceara xG
0.69America Mineiro xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ceara 1.7 – 0.7 America Mineiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ceara vs America Mineiro?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ceara vs America Mineiro?
On our numbers Ceara have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and America Mineiro 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ceara vs America Mineiro?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ceara vs America Mineiro?
Our predicted score is Ceara 1–0 America Mineiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ceara vs America Mineiro?
Ceara vs America Mineiro (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
