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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Goias v Ponte Preta: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil

Goias

WWDWW
1–0
FT
Goias 77%Draw 17%Ponte Preta 6% Expected goals 2.44 – 0.59
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGoias to win ✓77% · @1.12
Double chanceGoias or draw ✓94% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81

Goias vs Ponte Preta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ponte Preta travel to face Goias on Sunday 8 November in the Serie B – the ball rolls at 23:15 WAT. In the table, Goias are 7th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Ponte Preta are 20th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 43 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Goias, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over CRB, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Ponte Preta, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Criciuma, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Goias, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Ponte Preta.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Ponte Preta 1–2 Goias.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Goias 2.4 xG, Ponte Preta 0.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Goias 77%, draw 17%, Ponte Preta 6%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.25.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Goias 3–0 Ponte Preta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Goias77%fair 1.29 · @1.12
Draw17%fair 6.05 · @8.50
Ponte Preta6%fair 16.45 · @19.00
3.03Expected goals
2.44Goias xG
0.59Ponte Preta xG
52%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–012%
3–012%
2–18%
4–07%
1–17%

From our goals model: Goias 2.4 – 0.6 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGoias to win ✓77%1.291.12
Double chanceGoias or draw ✓94%1.061.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.932.25 ▲
Draw no betGoias (draw no bet) ✓93%1.08–
Asian handicapGoias -1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.201.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.561.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.731.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.321.33
First team to scoreGoias to score first ✓77%1.30–
Half-time resultGoias ahead at half-time ✗57%1.76–
Half-time / full-timeHT Goias / FT Goias ✗54%1.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.81–

Recent results

Goias – last 6

WWDWWL
3 Novvs CRB2–1W
28 Oct@ Ceara2–0W
19 Octvs Nautico Recife0–0D
11 Oct@ Operario-PR2–0W
7 Octvs Athletic Club2–1W
2 Oct@ Novorizontino0–3L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ponte Preta – last 6

LDDLLL
30 Oct@ Criciuma0–2L
24 Octvs Fortaleza EC2–2D
16 Octvs Atletico Goianiense1–1D
12 Oct@ Novorizontino1–5L
7 Octvs Juventude0–2L
3 Oct@ Cuiaba0–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Ponte Preta v Goias1–2
Goias vs Ponte Preta head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Goias vs Ponte Preta?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Goias vs Ponte Preta?

On our numbers Goias have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ponte Preta 6%.

How many goals will there be in Goias vs Ponte Preta?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Goias vs Ponte Preta?

Our predicted score is Goias 3–0 Ponte Preta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Goias vs Ponte Preta?

Goias vs Ponte Preta (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.