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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

BS Bouhajla v EM Mahdia: numbers & prediction

Ligue 2 · Tunisia
BS Bouhajla 43%Draw 28%EM Mahdia 29% Expected goals 1.01 – 1.04
61%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultBS Bouhajla to win ✗43% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.66

BS Bouhajla vs EM Mahdia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 16 February the Ligue 2 brings BS Bouhajla against EM Mahdia. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, BS Bouhajla are 26th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 7 matches; EM Mahdia are 2nd (among the top four) with 17. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give BS Bouhajla 1.0 xG, EM Mahdia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – BS Bouhajla 43%, draw 28%, EM Mahdia 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (61%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: BS Bouhajla 1–1 EM Mahdia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

BS Bouhajla43%fair 2.33 · @1.75
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.00
EM Mahdia29%fair 3.44 · @4.60
2.05Expected goals
1.01BS Bouhajla xG
1.04EM Mahdia xG
42%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–013%
1–27%
0–27%

From our goals model: BS Bouhajla 1.0 – 1.0 EM Mahdia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBS Bouhajla to win ✗43%2.331.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.391.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.71–
Draw no betBS Bouhajla (draw no bet)60%1.68–
Asian handicapBS Bouhajla +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗61%1.651.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreEM Mahdia to score first ✗44%2.27–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓21%4.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.66–

Recent results

BS Bouhajla

No recent results on record.

EM Mahdia

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between BS Bouhajla and EM Mahdia.

BS Bouhajla vs EM Mahdia head-to-head page →

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Kasserine7601+718
2EM Mahdia7520+717
3Ksour Essef6420+614
4M'saken7421+514
5CS Chebba7412+113
6Bouchamma7412-213
7AS Soliman7331+512
8Korba7331+412
9Jendouba Sport7331+212
10Mégrine7322+111
11JS Kairouanaise7322+111
12US Tataouine7322-111
13Kalaâ Sport7313+110
14Stade Soussien7313+110
15Sporting Ben Arous7232+29
16Ariana722308
17Stade Gabesien715108
18Sfax Railways715108
19EGS Gafsa7214-27
20AS Agareb7142-37
21Redeyef6204+26
22Kerkennah7133-26
23Olympique du Kef7124-35
24Béni-Khalled7124-45
25CO Medenine7124-75
26BS Bouhajla7124-75
27AS Gabes7025-52
28Moknine7025-92

More Ligue 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for BS Bouhajla vs EM Mahdia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win BS Bouhajla vs EM Mahdia?

On our numbers BS Bouhajla have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and EM Mahdia 29%.

How many goals will there be in BS Bouhajla vs EM Mahdia?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for BS Bouhajla vs EM Mahdia?

Our predicted score is BS Bouhajla 1–1 EM Mahdia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is BS Bouhajla vs EM Mahdia?

BS Bouhajla vs EM Mahdia (Ligue 2) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.