Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSporting Ben Arous to win ✗45% · @2.30
Double chanceSporting Ben Arous or draw ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Sporting Ben Arous vs ES Hammam-Sousse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sporting Ben Arous welcome ES Hammam-Sousse for a Ligue 2 fixture on Monday 16 February (14:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Ben Arous 1.4 xG, ES Hammam-Sousse 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Ben Arous 45%, draw 28%, ES Hammam-Sousse 27%.
Lower-risk option: Sporting Ben Arous or draw (73%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sporting Ben Arous or draw (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Ben Arous 1–0 ES Hammam-Sousse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Ben Arous45%fair 2.24 · @2.30
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @2.75
ES Hammam-Sousse27%fair 3.66 · @3.00
2.19Expected goals
1.36Sporting Ben Arous xG
0.83ES Hammam-Sousse xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Sporting Ben Arous 1.4 – 0.8 ES Hammam-Sousse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Ben Arous to win✗
45%
2.24
2.30
Double chance
Sporting Ben Arous or draw✓
73%
1.38
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Sporting Ben Arous (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
ES Hammam-Sousse +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Sporting Ben Arous to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Ben Arous / FT Sporting Ben Arous✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.63
–
Recent results
Sporting Ben Arous
No recent results on record.
ES Hammam-Sousse
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Ben Arous and ES Hammam-Sousse.
What is the prediction for Sporting Ben Arous vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
Our pick is Sporting Ben Arous or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Sporting Ben Arous vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
On our numbers Sporting Ben Arous have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and ES Hammam-Sousse 27%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Ben Arous vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Ben Arous vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
Our predicted score is Sporting Ben Arous 1–0 ES Hammam-Sousse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sporting Ben Arous vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
Sporting Ben Arous vs ES Hammam-Sousse (Ligue 2) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bouselem0
CS Hammam-Lif3
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