Value bet: Brusque to win @ 3.35 – our chance 39% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultBrusque to win39% · @3.35
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.35
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.18
Brusque vs Chapecoense-sc: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chapecoense-sc travel to face Brusque on Saturday 14 February in the Catarinense 1 – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brusque 1.4 xG, Chapecoense-sc 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brusque 39%, draw 27%, Chapecoense-sc 34%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.35.
Price worth noting: Brusque to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brusque 1–1 Chapecoense-sc. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brusque39%fair 2.59 · @3.35
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.70
Chapecoense-sc34%fair 2.91 · @2.33
2.55Expected goals
1.43Brusque xG
1.12Chapecoense-sc xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Brusque 1.4 – 1.1 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brusque to win
39%
2.59
3.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.88
2.35 ▲
Draw no bet
Brusque (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Chapecoense-sc +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.57
1.70 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.63
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Brusque to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brusque / FT Brusque
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
Brusque
No recent results on record.
Chapecoense-sc
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brusque and Chapecoense-sc.
What is the prediction for Brusque vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Brusque vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Brusque have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Chapecoense-sc 34%.
How many goals will there be in Brusque vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brusque vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our predicted score is Brusque 1–1 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Brusque vs Chapecoense-sc?
Brusque vs Chapecoense-sc (Catarinense 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Catarinense 1 · Brazil
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