Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFluminense to win ✓72% · @1.19
Double chanceFluminense or draw ✓87% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Fluminense vs Bangu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bangu travel to face Fluminense on Monday 16 February in the Carioca 1, with Estádio do Maracanã the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fluminense 2.1 xG, Bangu 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fluminense 72%, draw 16%, Bangu 13%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fluminense 2–0 Bangu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fluminense72%fair 1.40 · @1.19
Draw16%fair 6.28 · @5.80
Bangu13%fair 7.98 · @13.00
2.72Expected goals
2.06Fluminense xG
0.67Bangu xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fluminense 2.1 – 0.7 Bangu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fluminense to win✓
72%
1.40
1.19
Double chance
Fluminense or draw✓
87%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Fluminense (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Fluminense -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.22
First team to score
Fluminense to score first✓
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Fluminense ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fluminense / FT Fluminense✓
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
Fluminense
No recent results on record.
Bangu
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fluminense and Bangu.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Fluminense vs Bangu?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Bangu 13%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Bangu?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Bangu?
Our predicted score is Fluminense 2–0 Bangu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fluminense vs Bangu?
Fluminense vs Bangu (Carioca 1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Carioca 1 · Brazil · Estádio do Maracanã
Nova Iguaçu0
CFRJ Maricá1