Nova Iguaçu 47%Draw 29%CFRJ Maricá 24%Expected goals 1.30 – 0.96
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultNova Iguaçu to win ✗47% · @1.94
Double chanceNova Iguaçu or draw ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82
Nova Iguaçu vs CFRJ Maricá: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Monday 16 February: Nova Iguaçu v CFRJ Maricá in the Carioca 1, played at Estadio Janio Moraes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nova Iguaçu 1.3 xG, CFRJ Maricá 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nova Iguaçu 47%, draw 29%, CFRJ Maricá 24%.
Lower-risk option: Nova Iguaçu or draw (76%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nova Iguaçu 1–0 CFRJ Maricá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nova Iguaçu47%fair 2.14 · @1.94
Draw29%fair 3.40 · @3.15
CFRJ Maricá24%fair 4.21 · @3.85
2.26Expected goals
1.30Nova Iguaçu xG
0.96CFRJ Maricá xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Nova Iguaçu 1.3 – 1.0 CFRJ Maricá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nova Iguaçu to win✗
47%
2.14
1.94
Double chance
Nova Iguaçu or draw✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.93
Draw no bet
Nova Iguaçu (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
CFRJ Maricá +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Nova Iguaçu to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nova Iguaçu / FT Nova Iguaçu✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.82
–
Recent results
Nova Iguaçu
No recent results on record.
CFRJ Maricá
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nova Iguaçu and CFRJ Maricá.
What is the prediction for Nova Iguaçu vs CFRJ Maricá?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nova Iguaçu vs CFRJ Maricá?
On our numbers Nova Iguaçu have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 29% and CFRJ Maricá 24%.
How many goals will there be in Nova Iguaçu vs CFRJ Maricá?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nova Iguaçu vs CFRJ Maricá?
Our predicted score is Nova Iguaçu 1–0 CFRJ Maricá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Nova Iguaçu vs CFRJ Maricá?
Nova Iguaçu vs CFRJ Maricá (Carioca 1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Janio Moraes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Carioca 1 · Brazil · Estadio Janio Moraes
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