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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vasco DA Gama v Volta Redonda: numbers & prediction

Carioca 1 · Brazil · Estádio São Januário
1–1
–Pens 5–3
Vasco DA Gama 67%Draw 20%Volta Redonda 12% Expected goals 1.93 – 0.66
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultVasco DA Gama to win ✗67% · @1.39
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82

Vasco DA Gama vs Volta Redonda: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vasco DA Gama welcome Volta Redonda to Estádio São Januário for a Carioca 1 fixture on Sunday 15 February (01:30 WAT).

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vasco DA Gama 1.9 xG, Volta Redonda 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vasco DA Gama 67%, draw 20%, Volta Redonda 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasco DA Gama 2–0 Volta Redonda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vasco DA Gama67%fair 1.48 · @1.39
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @4.00
Volta Redonda12%fair 8.14 · @8.10
2.60Expected goals
1.93Vasco DA Gama xG
0.66Volta Redonda xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.9 – 0.7 Volta Redonda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVasco DA Gama to win ✗67%1.481.39
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw ✓88%1.141.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.952.05 ▲
Draw no betVasco DA Gama (draw no bet)85%1.18–
Asian handicapVasco DA Gama -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreVasco DA Gama to score first ✗69%1.45–
Half-time resultVasco DA Gama ahead at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vasco DA Gama / FT Vasco DA Gama ✗43%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.82–

Recent results

Vasco DA Gama

No recent results on record.

Volta Redonda

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vasco DA Gama and Volta Redonda.

Vasco DA Gama vs Volta Redonda head-to-head page →

More Carioca 1 predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Volta Redonda?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Volta Redonda?

On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Volta Redonda 12%.

How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Volta Redonda?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Volta Redonda?

Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 2–0 Volta Redonda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Vasco DA Gama vs Volta Redonda?

Vasco DA Gama vs Volta Redonda (Carioca 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio São Januário.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.