Botafogo vs Flamengo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Flamengo travel to face Botafogo on Sunday 15 February in the Carioca 1, with Estádio Nilton Santos the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo 0.8 xG, Flamengo 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo 16%, draw 24%, Flamengo 61%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo 0–1 Flamengo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo16%fair 6.36 · @5.00
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.45
Flamengo61%fair 1.65 · @1.67
2.57Expected goals
0.76Botafogo xG
1.81Flamengo xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Botafogo 0.8 – 1.8 Flamengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flamengo to win✓
61%
1.65
1.67
Double chance
Flamengo or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.00
Draw no bet
Flamengo (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Flamengo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Flamengo to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Flamengo ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flamengo / FT Flamengo✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Botafogo
No recent results on record.
Flamengo
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo and Flamengo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Botafogo vs Flamengo?
On our numbers Botafogo have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Flamengo 61%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo vs Flamengo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Flamengo?
Our predicted score is Botafogo 0–1 Flamengo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Botafogo vs Flamengo?
Botafogo vs Flamengo (Carioca 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Nilton Santos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Carioca 1 · Brazil · Estádio Nilton Santos
Vasco DA Gama1
Volta Redonda1