Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 51% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNegelle Arsi to win ✗41% · @2.38
Double chanceNegelle Arsi or draw ✓72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.59
Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 February the Premier League brings Arba Minch Kenema against Negelle Arsi. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arba Minch Kenema 0.9 xG, Negelle Arsi 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arba Minch Kenema 28%, draw 30%, Negelle Arsi 41%.
Lower-risk option: Negelle Arsi or draw (72%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.40.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Negelle Arsi or draw (72%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arba Minch Kenema 0–1 Negelle Arsi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arba Minch Kenema28%fair 3.51 · @3.25
Draw30%fair 3.29 · @2.45
Negelle Arsi41%fair 2.43 · @2.38
2.14Expected goals
0.94Arba Minch Kenema xG
1.20Negelle Arsi xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Arba Minch Kenema 0.9 – 1.2 Negelle Arsi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Negelle Arsi to win✗
41%
2.43
2.38
Double chance
Negelle Arsi or draw✓
72%
1.40
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
2.40 ▲
Draw no bet
Negelle Arsi (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Arba Minch Kenema +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Negelle Arsi to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Negelle Arsi / FT Negelle Arsi✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.59
–
Recent results
Arba Minch Kenema
No recent results on record.
Negelle Arsi
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arba Minch Kenema and Negelle Arsi.
What is the prediction for Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?
Our pick is Negelle Arsi or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?
On our numbers Arba Minch Kenema have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Negelle Arsi 41%.
How many goals will there be in Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?
Our predicted score is Arba Minch Kenema 0–1 Negelle Arsi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?
Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dire Dawa Kenema1