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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sheger Ketema v Mebrat Hayl: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
Sheger Ketema 38%Draw 34%Mebrat Hayl 29% Expected goals 0.82 – 0.67
71%
Betarazi pick

Sheger Ketema or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultSheger Ketema to win ✗38% · @2.50
Double chanceSheger Ketema or draw ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.43

Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sheger Ketema welcome Mebrat Hayl for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 22 February (16:00 WAT). In the table, Sheger Ketema are 12th, lower half, on 5 points after 5 matches; Mebrat Hayl are 8th (upper half) with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sheger Ketema 0.8 xG, Mebrat Hayl 0.7 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sheger Ketema 38%, draw 34%, Mebrat Hayl 29%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sheger Ketema or draw (71%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sheger Ketema or draw (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sheger Ketema 0–0 Mebrat Hayl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sheger Ketema38%fair 2.66 · @2.50
Draw34%fair 2.95 · @2.40
Mebrat Hayl29%fair 3.51 · @3.10
1.49Expected goals
0.82Sheger Ketema xG
0.67Mebrat Hayl xG
45%Both score
19%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–022%
1–018%
0–115%
1–112%
2–08%
0–25%

From our goals model: Sheger Ketema 0.8 – 0.7 Mebrat Hayl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSheger Ketema to win ✗38%2.662.50
Double chanceSheger Ketema or draw ✓71%1.401.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.811.44
Draw no betSheger Ketema (draw no bet)57%1.76–
Asian handicapMebrat Hayl +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreSheger Ketema to score first ✗42%2.35–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓58%1.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓29%3.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.43–

Recent results

Sheger Ketema

No recent results on record.

Mebrat Hayl

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sheger Ketema and Mebrat Hayl.

Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Our pick is Sheger Ketema or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?

On our numbers Sheger Ketema have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Mebrat Hayl 29%.

How many goals will there be in Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Our predicted score is Sheger Ketema 0–0 Mebrat Hayl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.