Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultAvondale to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 March the Victoria NPL brings Dandenong Thunder against Avondale at George Andrews Reserve. Kick-off: 09:00 WAT.
Current form
Dandenong Thunder, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sunshine Georgies, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Avondale, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Green Gully, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Avondale, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Dandenong Thunder.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dandenong Thunder 1.0 xG, Avondale 2.4 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dandenong Thunder 19%, draw 18%, Avondale 63%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Avondale to win (63%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dandenong Thunder 1–2 Avondale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dandenong Thunder19%fair 5.21 · @3.25
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @3.65
Avondale63%fair 1.60 · @1.91
3.43Expected goals
1.03Dandenong Thunder xG
2.40Avondale xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
0–18%
1–38%
0–37%
From our goals model: Dandenong Thunder 1.0 – 2.4 Avondale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avondale to win✓
63%
1.60
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.48
Draw no bet
Avondale (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Avondale -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
First team to score
Avondale to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Avondale ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avondale / FT Avondale✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Dandenong Thunder – last 3
LLD
28 Feb
@ Sunshine Georgies
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Heidelberg United
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Melbourne City II
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Avondale – last 3
WLL
28 Feb
vs Green Gully
5–0
W
20 Feb
@ Bentleigh Greens
0–2
L
14 Feb
vs South Melbourne
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dandenong Thunder and Avondale.
What is the prediction for Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale?
Our pick is Avondale to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale?
On our numbers Dandenong Thunder have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Avondale 63%.
How many goals will there be in Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale?
Our predicted score is Dandenong Thunder 1–2 Avondale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale?
Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at George Andrews Reserve.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · George Andrews Reserve
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St. Albans Saints1
South Melbourne1
Bentleigh Greens0