Value bet: Altona Magic to win @ 3.20 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDandenong Thunder to win ✓40% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.28
Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 18 April the Victoria NPL brings Altona Magic against Dandenong Thunder. Kick-off: 09:15 WAT.
Current form
Altona Magic, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Heidelberg United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Dandenong Thunder, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Green Gully, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Altona Magic 1.6 xG, Dandenong Thunder 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Altona Magic 38%, draw 21%, Dandenong Thunder 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Altona Magic to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Altona Magic 1–1 Dandenong Thunder. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Altona Magic38%fair 2.62 · @3.20
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.55
Dandenong Thunder40%fair 2.47 · @1.95
2.83Expected goals
1.62Altona Magic xG
1.21Dandenong Thunder xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Altona Magic 1.6 – 1.2 Dandenong Thunder expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dandenong Thunder to win✓
40%
2.47
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Draw no bet
Dandenong Thunder (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Dandenong Thunder +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Altona Magic to score first✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Altona Magic / FT Altona Magic✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.28
–
Recent results
Altona Magic – last 6
DDDLLL
11 Apr
@ Heidelberg United
2–2
D
28 Mar
vs Green Gully
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Melbourne City II
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Bentleigh Greens
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs St. Albans Saints
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs South Melbourne
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dandenong Thunder – last 6
DLWLLL
11 Apr
vs Green Gully
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Bentleigh Greens
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs South Melbourne
3–0
W
14 Mar
@ Hume City
1–3
L
7 Mar
vs Avondale
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Sunshine Georgies
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Altona Magic and Dandenong Thunder.
What is the prediction for Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder?
On our numbers Altona Magic have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dandenong Thunder 40%.
How many goals will there be in Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder?
Our predicted score is Altona Magic 1–1 Dandenong Thunder, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder?
Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 09:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
Hume City0
St. Albans Saints1
Avondale3
Melbourne City II1
Sunshine Georgies0
Heidelberg United3