Avondale 64%Draw 19%Melbourne City II 17%Expected goals 2.41 – 1.13
64%
Betarazi pick
Avondale to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultAvondale to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceAvondale or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Avondale vs Melbourne City II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Avondale welcome Melbourne City II to Avenger park for a Victoria NPL fixture on Saturday 18 April (06:00 WAT).
Current form
Avondale, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over St. Albans Saints, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Melbourne City II, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sunshine Georgies, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Avondale, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Melbourne City II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avondale 2.4 xG, Melbourne City II 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avondale 64%, draw 19%, Melbourne City II 17%.
Lower-risk option: Avondale or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Avondale to win (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avondale 2–1 Melbourne City II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avondale64%fair 1.56 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @4.10
Melbourne City II17%fair 5.82 · @4.20
3.54Expected goals
2.41Avondale xG
1.13Melbourne City II xG
64%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Avondale 2.4 – 1.1 Melbourne City II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avondale to win✓
64%
1.56
1.62
Double chance
Avondale or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Draw no bet
Avondale (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Avondale -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
First team to score
Avondale to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Avondale ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avondale / FT Avondale✓
44%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Avondale – last 6
WDLWWW
10 Apr
@ St. Albans Saints
3–2
W
28 Mar
vs Oakleigh Cannons
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Preston Lions
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Dandenong City
4–1
W
7 Mar
@ Dandenong Thunder
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Green Gully
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Melbourne City II – last 6
DDDWDL
12 Apr
vs Sunshine Georgies
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Heidelberg United
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Altona Magic
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs St. Albans Saints
5–0
W
8 Mar
vs Oakleigh Cannons
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Preston Lions
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avondale and Melbourne City II.
What is the prediction for Avondale vs Melbourne City II?
Our pick is Avondale to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Avondale vs Melbourne City II?
On our numbers Avondale have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Melbourne City II 17%.
How many goals will there be in Avondale vs Melbourne City II?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avondale vs Melbourne City II?
Our predicted score is Avondale 2–1 Melbourne City II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Avondale vs Melbourne City II?
Avondale vs Melbourne City II (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Avenger park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · Avenger park
Hume City0
St. Albans Saints1
Sunshine Georgies0
Heidelberg United3
Altona Magic2
Dandenong Thunder4