Value bet: Dandenong City to win @ 2.62 – our chance 50% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDandenong City to win ✗50% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Dandenong City vs Dandenong Thunder: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dandenong Thunder travel to face Dandenong City on Friday 24 April in the Victoria NPL – the ball rolls at 10:45 WAT.
Current form
Dandenong City, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Green Gully, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Dandenong Thunder, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Altona Magic, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dandenong City 2.0 xG, Dandenong Thunder 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dandenong City 50%, draw 21%, Dandenong Thunder 29%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Dandenong City to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dandenong City 1–1 Dandenong Thunder. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dandenong City50%fair 2.00 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.40
Dandenong Thunder29%fair 3.44 · @2.35
3.03Expected goals
2.00Dandenong City xG
1.03Dandenong Thunder xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Dandenong City 2.0 – 1.0 Dandenong Thunder expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dandenong City to win✗
50%
2.00
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Draw no bet
Dandenong City (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Dandenong Thunder +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Dandenong City to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Dandenong City ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dandenong City / FT Dandenong City✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Dandenong City – last 6
WWLDLD
17 Apr
vs Green Gully
2–1
W
11 Apr
vs Bentleigh Greens
3–0
W
31 Mar
@ South Melbourne
2–4
L
20 Mar
vs Hume City
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Avondale
1–4
L
6 Mar
vs Sunshine Georgies
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dandenong Thunder – last 6
WDLWLL
18 Apr
@ Altona Magic
4–2
W
11 Apr
vs Green Gully
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Bentleigh Greens
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs South Melbourne
3–0
W
14 Mar
@ Hume City
1–3
L
7 Mar
vs Avondale
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dandenong City and Dandenong Thunder.
What is the prediction for Dandenong City vs Dandenong Thunder?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dandenong City vs Dandenong Thunder?
On our numbers Dandenong City have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dandenong Thunder 29%.
How many goals will there be in Dandenong City vs Dandenong Thunder?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dandenong City vs Dandenong Thunder?
Our predicted score is Dandenong City 1–1 Dandenong Thunder, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Dandenong City vs Dandenong Thunder?
Dandenong City vs Dandenong Thunder (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 10:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
Heidelberg United2
Avondale1
Green Gully0
Preston Lions4
St. Albans Saints0
South Melbourne4
Oakleigh Cannons4
Bentleigh Greens0