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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

St. Albans Saints v South Melbourne: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia · Churchill Reserve

St. Albans Saints

WLLWL
0–4
FT

South Melbourne

WLLWL
St. Albans Saints 22%Draw 24%South Melbourne 55% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.71
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultSouth Melbourne to win ✓55% · @1.64
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✓78% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.38

St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Friday 24 April: St. Albans Saints v South Melbourne in the Victoria NPL, played at Churchill Reserve.

Current form

St. Albans Saints, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hume City, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

South Melbourne, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 8–1 win over Tahiti United, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give St. Albans Saints 1.1 xG, South Melbourne 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – St. Albans Saints 22%, draw 24%, South Melbourne 55%.
  • Lower-risk option: South Melbourne or draw (78%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Albans Saints 1–1 South Melbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

St. Albans Saints22%fair 4.59 · @4.50
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.80
South Melbourne55%fair 1.83 · @1.64
2.86Expected goals
1.15St. Albans Saints xG
1.71South Melbourne xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–16%

From our goals model: St. Albans Saints 1.1 – 1.7 South Melbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Melbourne to win ✓55%1.831.64
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✓78%1.281.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.57
Draw no betSouth Melbourne (draw no bet) ✓71%1.40–
Asian handicapSt. Albans Saints +1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.531.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
First team to scoreSouth Melbourne to score first ✓56%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne ✓31%3.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.38–

Recent results

St. Albans Saints – last 6

WLLWLW
18 Apr@ Hume City1–0W
10 Aprvs Avondale2–3L
28 Mar@ Sunshine Georgies1–2L
22 Marvs Heidelberg United2–1W
14 Mar@ Melbourne City II0–5L
7 Mar@ Altona Magic1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

South Melbourne – last 6

WLLWLW
21 Aprvs Tahiti United8–1W
19 Aprvs Oakleigh Cannons0–3L
18 Aprvs Hekari United1–2L
15 Aprvs Bula2–0W
12 Apr@ Auckland FC 22–3L
11 Apr@ Preston Lions3–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between St. Albans Saints and South Melbourne.

St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

FT Heidelberg United2 Avondale1 141%2.05X23%3.50236%3.00 1.6–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Green Gully0 Preston Lions4 121%4.00X24%3.60255%1.75 0.9–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Dandenong City0 Dandenong Thunder1 150%2.62X21%3.40229%2.35 2.0–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✗
FT Oakleigh Cannons4 Bentleigh Greens0 167%1.50X20%3.90213%5.40 2.2–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne?

On our numbers St. Albans Saints have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 24% and South Melbourne 55%.

How many goals will there be in St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne?

Our predicted score is St. Albans Saints 1–1 South Melbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne?

St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Churchill Reserve.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.