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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hume City v Heidelberg United: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia

Hume City

WLLWD
2–1
FT

Heidelberg United

WWDDL
Hume City 35%Draw 24%Heidelberg United 41% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.45
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Hume City to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultHeidelberg United to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.07

Hume City vs Heidelberg United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hume City welcome Heidelberg United for a Victoria NPL fixture on Saturday 2 May (05:00 WAT).

Current form

Hume City, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Melbourne City II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Heidelberg United, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Avondale, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hume City 1.5 xG, Heidelberg United 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hume City 35%, draw 24%, Heidelberg United 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Hume City to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hume City 1–1 Heidelberg United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hume City35%fair 2.84 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.45
Heidelberg United41%fair 2.44 · @2.05
2.95Expected goals
1.49Hume City xG
1.45Heidelberg United xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%

From our goals model: Hume City 1.5 – 1.5 Heidelberg United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHeidelberg United to win ✗41%2.442.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.62
Draw no betHeidelberg United (draw no bet) ✗54%1.86–
Asian handicapHeidelberg United +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
First team to scoreHume City to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hume City / FT Hume City ✓23%4.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.07–

Recent results

Hume City – last 6

WLLWDW
26 Apr@ Melbourne City II1–0W
18 Aprvs St. Albans Saints0–1L
11 Apr@ Oakleigh Cannons2–3L
28 Marvs Preston Lions3–2W
20 Mar@ Dandenong City1–1D
14 Marvs Dandenong Thunder3–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Heidelberg United – last 6

WWDDLW
24 Aprvs Avondale2–1W
18 Apr@ Sunshine Georgies3–0W
11 Aprvs Altona Magic2–2D
27 Marvs Melbourne City II1–1D
22 Mar@ St. Albans Saints1–2L
13 Mar@ Oakleigh Cannons3–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hume City and Heidelberg United.

Hume City vs Heidelberg United head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

FT Avondale5 Sunshine Georgies2 160%1.57X22%4.00218%4.75 2.0–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Dandenong Thunder0 Preston Lions1 126%2.75X22%3.40252%2.25 1.0–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✗
FT Altona Magic1 Dandenong City0 131%2.75X26%3.45243%2.25 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hume City vs Heidelberg United?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Hume City vs Heidelberg United?

On our numbers Hume City have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Heidelberg United 41%.

How many goals will there be in Hume City vs Heidelberg United?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hume City vs Heidelberg United?

Our predicted score is Hume City 1–1 Heidelberg United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Hume City vs Heidelberg United?

Hume City vs Heidelberg United (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.