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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dandenong Thunder v Preston Lions: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia · George Andrews Reserve

Dandenong Thunder

WWDLW
0–1
FT

Preston Lions

WDLLW
Dandenong Thunder 26%Draw 22%Preston Lions 52% Expected goals 0.96 – 1.90
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Preston Lions to win @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPreston Lions to win ✓52% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Dandenong Thunder vs Preston Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:15 WAT, Saturday 2 May: Dandenong Thunder v Preston Lions in the Victoria NPL, played at George Andrews Reserve.

Current form

Dandenong Thunder, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dandenong City, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Preston Lions, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Green Gully, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dandenong Thunder 1.0 xG, Preston Lions 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dandenong Thunder 26%, draw 22%, Preston Lions 52%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Preston Lions to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dandenong Thunder 1–1 Preston Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dandenong Thunder26%fair 3.80 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.40
Preston Lions52%fair 1.93 · @2.25
2.86Expected goals
0.96Dandenong Thunder xG
1.90Preston Lions xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: Dandenong Thunder 1.0 – 1.9 Preston Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPreston Lions to win ✓52%1.932.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.60
Draw no betPreston Lions (draw no bet) ✓66%1.51–
Asian handicapDandenong Thunder +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.311.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scorePreston Lions to score first ✓63%1.60–
Half-time resultPreston Lions ahead at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Preston Lions / FT Preston Lions ✓37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Dandenong Thunder – last 6

WWDLWL
24 Apr@ Dandenong City1–0W
18 Apr@ Altona Magic4–2W
11 Aprvs Green Gully1–1D
27 Mar@ Bentleigh Greens1–2L
21 Marvs South Melbourne3–0W
14 Mar@ Hume City1–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Preston Lions – last 6

WDLLWD
24 Apr@ Green Gully4–0W
17 Apr@ Bentleigh Greens1–1D
11 Aprvs South Melbourne0–3L
28 Mar@ Hume City2–3L
20 Marvs Avondale2–1W
13 Marvs Sunshine Georgies1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dandenong Thunder and Preston Lions.

Dandenong Thunder vs Preston Lions head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

FT Hume City2 Heidelberg United1 135%3.10X24%3.45241%2.05 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Avondale5 Sunshine Georgies2 160%1.57X22%4.00218%4.75 2.0–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Altona Magic1 Dandenong City0 131%2.75X26%3.45243%2.25 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dandenong Thunder vs Preston Lions?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Dandenong Thunder vs Preston Lions?

On our numbers Dandenong Thunder have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Preston Lions 52%.

How many goals will there be in Dandenong Thunder vs Preston Lions?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dandenong Thunder vs Preston Lions?

Our predicted score is Dandenong Thunder 1–1 Preston Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Dandenong Thunder vs Preston Lions?

Dandenong Thunder vs Preston Lions (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 06:15 (West Africa Time) at George Andrews Reserve.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.