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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bentleigh Greens v Heidelberg United: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia
1–0
–
Bentleigh Greens 18%Draw 22%Heidelberg United 60% Expected goals 1.02 – 1.86
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultHeidelberg United to win60% · @1.45
Double chanceHeidelberg United or draw82% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.10

Bentleigh Greens vs Heidelberg United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 15 May the Victoria NPL brings Bentleigh Greens against Heidelberg United. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT.

Current form

Bentleigh Greens, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–7 defeat to Melbourne City II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Heidelberg United, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over South Melbourne, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Heidelberg United, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Bentleigh Greens.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bentleigh Greens 1.0 xG, Heidelberg United 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bentleigh Greens 18%, draw 22%, Heidelberg United 60%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bentleigh Greens 1–1 Heidelberg United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bentleigh Greens18%fair 5.69 · @5.80
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @4.10
Heidelberg United60%fair 1.65 · @1.45
2.88Expected goals
1.02Bentleigh Greens xG
1.86Heidelberg United xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%

From our goals model: Bentleigh Greens 1.0 – 1.9 Heidelberg United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHeidelberg United to win60%1.651.45
Double chanceHeidelberg United or draw82%1.211.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.671.80 ▲
Draw no betHeidelberg United (draw no bet)77%1.29–
Asian handicapBentleigh Greens +1.5 (Asian handicap)67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals77%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals55%1.821.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals67%1.501.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals83%1.20–
First team to scoreHeidelberg United to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultHeidelberg United ahead at half-time42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Heidelberg United / FT Heidelberg United36%2.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.10–

Recent results

Bentleigh Greens – last 6

LLLDLW
8 Mayvs Melbourne City II0–7L
1 Mayvs St. Albans Saints2–4L
24 Apr@ Oakleigh Cannons0–4L
17 Aprvs Preston Lions1–1D
11 Apr@ Dandenong City0–3L
27 Marvs Dandenong Thunder2–1W
0.8Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Heidelberg United – last 6

WLWWDD
8 Mayvs South Melbourne4–0W
2 May@ Hume City1–2L
24 Aprvs Avondale2–1W
18 Apr@ Sunshine Georgies3–0W
11 Aprvs Altona Magic2–2D
27 Marvs Melbourne City II1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bentleigh Greens and Heidelberg United.

Bentleigh Greens vs Heidelberg United head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bentleigh Greens vs Heidelberg United?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Bentleigh Greens vs Heidelberg United?

On our numbers Bentleigh Greens have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Heidelberg United 60%.

How many goals will there be in Bentleigh Greens vs Heidelberg United?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bentleigh Greens vs Heidelberg United?

Our predicted score is Bentleigh Greens 1–1 Heidelberg United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Bentleigh Greens vs Heidelberg United?

Bentleigh Greens vs Heidelberg United (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 15 May 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.