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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Green Gully v Melbourne City II: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia · Green Gully Reserve
1–3
FT
Green Gully 26%Draw 23%Melbourne City II 51% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.71
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultMelbourne City II to win ✓51% · @1.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.80

Green Gully vs Melbourne City II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 15 May the Victoria NPL brings Green Gully against Melbourne City II at Green Gully Reserve. Kick-off: 10:30 WAT.

Current form

Green Gully, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to St. Albans Saints, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Melbourne City II, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Bentleigh Greens, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Melbourne City II, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Green Gully.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Green Gully 1.3 xG, Melbourne City II 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Green Gully 26%, draw 23%, Melbourne City II 51%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Green Gully 1–1 Melbourne City II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Green Gully26%fair 3.83 · @4.20
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.80
Melbourne City II51%fair 1.95 · @1.68
3.06Expected goals
1.35Green Gully xG
1.71Melbourne City II xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%

From our goals model: Green Gully 1.3 – 1.7 Melbourne City II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMelbourne City II to win ✓51%1.951.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.57
Draw no betMelbourne City II (draw no bet) ✓66%1.51–
Asian handicapGreen Gully +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.581.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
First team to scoreMelbourne City II to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Melbourne City II / FT Melbourne City II ✗28%3.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.80–

Recent results

Green Gully – last 6

LLLLDD
8 May@ St. Albans Saints0–1L
1 Mayvs Oakleigh Cannons0–5L
24 Aprvs Preston Lions0–4L
17 Apr@ Dandenong City1–2L
11 Apr@ Dandenong Thunder1–1D
28 Mar@ Altona Magic1–1D
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Melbourne City II – last 6

WWLLDD
8 May@ Bentleigh Greens7–0W
1 May@ South Melbourne2–1W
26 Aprvs Hume City0–1L
18 Apr@ Avondale1–3L
12 Aprvs Sunshine Georgies1–1D
27 Mar@ Heidelberg United1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Green Gully and Melbourne City II.

Green Gully vs Melbourne City II head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Green Gully vs Melbourne City II?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Green Gully vs Melbourne City II?

On our numbers Green Gully have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Melbourne City II 51%.

How many goals will there be in Green Gully vs Melbourne City II?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Green Gully vs Melbourne City II?

Our predicted score is Green Gully 1–1 Melbourne City II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Green Gully vs Melbourne City II?

Green Gully vs Melbourne City II (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 15 May 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Green Gully Reserve.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.