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Sunshine Georgies v Melbourne City II: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia · City Vista Recreation Reserve
Sunshine Georgies 41%Draw 23%Melbourne City II 37% Expected goals 1.66 – 1.35
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Sunshine Georgies to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSunshine Georgies to win ✓41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90

Sunshine Georgies vs Melbourne City II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

09:00 WAT, Saturday 18 July: Sunshine Georgies v Melbourne City II in the Victoria NPL, played at City Vista Recreation Reserve.

Current form

Sunshine Georgies, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with St. Albans Saints, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Melbourne City II, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Heidelberg United, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Melbourne City II 1–1 Sunshine Georgies.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sunshine Georgies 1.7 xG, Melbourne City II 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sunshine Georgies 41%, draw 23%, Melbourne City II 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Sunshine Georgies to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sunshine Georgies 1–1 Melbourne City II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sunshine Georgies41%fair 2.46 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.60
Melbourne City II37%fair 2.74 · @2.15
3.01Expected goals
1.66Sunshine Georgies xG
1.35Melbourne City II xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Sunshine Georgies 1.7 – 1.3 Melbourne City II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSunshine Georgies to win ✓41%2.462.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.53
Draw no betSunshine Georgies (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapMelbourne City II +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.251.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.571.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
First team to scoreSunshine Georgies to score first ✓52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sunshine Georgies / FT Sunshine Georgies ✓27%3.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.90–

Recent results

Sunshine Georgies – last 6

DDLWWD
12 Jul@ St. Albans Saints2–2D
4 Julvs Oakleigh Cannons1–1D
27 Junvs Preston Lions0–2L
20 Junvs Dandenong City3–2W
6 Jun@ Dandenong Thunder3–2W
30 Mayvs Green Gully0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Melbourne City II – last 6

DWWLLW
11 Julvs Heidelberg United2–2D
4 Jul@ Altona Magic3–0W
26 Jun@ St. Albans Saints2–0W
19 Jun@ Oakleigh Cannons1–3L
30 Mayvs Dandenong City0–1L
24 Mayvs Dandenong Thunder2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Melbourne City II v Sunshine Georgies1–1
Sunshine Georgies vs Melbourne City II head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sunshine Georgies vs Melbourne City II?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Sunshine Georgies vs Melbourne City II?

On our numbers Sunshine Georgies have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Melbourne City II 37%.

How many goals will there be in Sunshine Georgies vs Melbourne City II?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sunshine Georgies vs Melbourne City II?

Our predicted score is Sunshine Georgies 1–1 Melbourne City II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Sunshine Georgies vs Melbourne City II?

Sunshine Georgies vs Melbourne City II (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at City Vista Recreation Reserve.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.