Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.33
FK Sarajevo vs Velež: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Velež travel to face FK Sarajevo on Wednesday 25 February in the Cup – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Sarajevo 1.1 xG, Velež 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Sarajevo 50%, draw 26%, Velež 24%.
Lower-risk option: FK Sarajevo or draw (76%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FK Sarajevo or draw (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Sarajevo 1–0 Velež. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Sarajevo50%fair 2.00 · @1.83
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.70
Velež24%fair 4.14 · @3.40
1.80Expected goals
1.14FK Sarajevo xG
0.67Velež xG
46%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–016%
1–112%
0–111%
2–011%
2–17%
From our goals model: FK Sarajevo 1.1 – 0.7 Velež expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Sarajevo to win✗
50%
2.00
1.83
Double chance
FK Sarajevo or draw✗
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Draw no bet
FK Sarajevo (draw no bet)✗
67%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Velež +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
FK Sarajevo to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Sarajevo / FT FK Sarajevo✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.33
–
Recent results
FK Sarajevo – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Sloga Doboj
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Velež – last 2
WL
21 Feb
vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Siroki Brijeg
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Sarajevo and Velež.
Our pick is FK Sarajevo or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FK Sarajevo vs Velež?
On our numbers FK Sarajevo have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Velež 24%.
How many goals will there be in FK Sarajevo vs Velež?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Sarajevo vs Velež?
Our predicted score is FK Sarajevo 1–0 Velež, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is FK Sarajevo vs Velež?
FK Sarajevo vs Velež (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Laktaši2
Radnik Bijeljina0
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo0
Sloga Doboj1