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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mekelle Kenema v Welayta Dicha: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
0–0
FT
Mekelle Kenema 28%Draw 31%Welayta Dicha 41% Expected goals 0.86 – 1.18
72%
Betarazi pick

Welayta Dicha or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultWelayta Dicha to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceWelayta Dicha or draw ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.88

Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 15 March the Premier League brings Mekelle Kenema against Welayta Dicha. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Mekelle Kenema, last 4: LLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Awassa Kenema, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Welayta Dicha, last 4: WDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sidama Bunna, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours Welayta Dicha, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Mekelle Kenema.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mekelle Kenema 0.9 xG, Welayta Dicha 1.2 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mekelle Kenema 28%, draw 31%, Welayta Dicha 41%.
  • Lower-risk option: Welayta Dicha or draw (72%) at 1.33.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.30.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Welayta Dicha or draw (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mekelle Kenema 0–1 Welayta Dicha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mekelle Kenema28%fair 3.57 · @2.90
Draw31%fair 3.24 · @2.50
Welayta Dicha41%fair 2.43 · @2.50
2.04Expected goals
0.86Mekelle Kenema xG
1.18Welayta Dicha xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Mekelle Kenema 0.9 – 1.2 Welayta Dicha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWelayta Dicha to win ✗41%2.432.50
Double chanceWelayta Dicha or draw ✓72%1.391.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.30 ▲
Draw no betWelayta Dicha (draw no bet)60%1.68–
Asian handicapMekelle Kenema +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗60%1.65–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreWelayta Dicha to score first ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Welayta Dicha / FT Welayta Dicha ✗25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.88–

Recent results

Mekelle Kenema – last 4

LLDW
10 Mar@ Awassa Kenema0–1L
5 Marvs Dire Dawa Kenema1–2L
26 Feb@ Mekelakeya0–0D
23 Febvs Suhul Shire1–0W
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Welayta Dicha – last 4

WDWW
8 Marvs Sidama Bunna3–1W
4 Marvs Awassa Kenema1–1D
26 Feb@ Dire Dawa Kenema2–0W
21 Febvs Mekelakeya4–3W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mekelle Kenema and Welayta Dicha.

Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

Our pick is Welayta Dicha or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

On our numbers Mekelle Kenema have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Welayta Dicha 41%.

How many goals will there be in Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

Our predicted score is Mekelle Kenema 0–1 Welayta Dicha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.