São Paulo W 62%Draw 26%Gremio W 13%Expected goals 1.67 – 0.60
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultSão Paulo W to win ✓62% · @1.60
Double chanceSão Paulo W or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.82
São Paulo W vs Gremio W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Monday 20 April: São Paulo W v Gremio W in the Brasileiro Women, played at Estadio do Caninde. In the table, São Paulo W are 1st, leading the league, on 41 points after 17 matches; Gremio W are 8th (upper half) with 27. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
São Paulo W, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Atlético Mineiro W, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give São Paulo W 1.7 xG, Gremio W 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – São Paulo W 62%, draw 26%, Gremio W 13%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: São Paulo W 1–0 Gremio W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
São Paulo W62%fair 1.62 · @1.60
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.30
Gremio W13%fair 7.95 · @5.80
2.28Expected goals
1.67São Paulo W xG
0.60Gremio W xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: São Paulo W 1.7 – 0.6 Gremio W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Paulo W to win✓
62%
1.62
1.60
Double chance
São Paulo W or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.67
Draw no bet
São Paulo W (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
São Paulo W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
São Paulo W to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Paulo W / FT São Paulo W✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.82
–
Recent results
São Paulo W – last 5
WWDWW
30 Mar
@ Atlético Mineiro W
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Palmeiras W
3–0
W
24 Mar
@ Fluminense W
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Bahia W
2–1
W
17 Feb
@ Internacional RS W
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Gremio W – last 2
LL
20 Feb
vs Palmeiras W
1–2
L
16 Feb
@ Santos W
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São Paulo W and Gremio W.
What is the prediction for São Paulo W vs Gremio W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win São Paulo W vs Gremio W?
On our numbers São Paulo W have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gremio W 13%.
How many goals will there be in São Paulo W vs Gremio W?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Paulo W vs Gremio W?
Our predicted score is São Paulo W 1–0 Gremio W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is São Paulo W vs Gremio W?
São Paulo W vs Gremio W (Brasileiro Women) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Caninde.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
