Ferroviaria W 72%Draw 18%America Mineiro W 10%Expected goals 2.05 – 0.71
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.60 – our chance 50% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFerroviaria W to win ✓72% · @1.10
Double chanceFerroviaria W or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Ferroviaria W vs America Mineiro W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
America Mineiro W travel to face Ferroviaria W on Monday 20 April in the Brasileiro Women, with Arena Fonte Luminosa the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Ferroviaria W are 4th, among the top four, on 31 points after 17 matches; America Mineiro W are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ferroviaria W, last 3: DDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cruzeiro W, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
America Mineiro W, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bahia W, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ferroviaria W, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.0 for America Mineiro W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ferroviaria W 2.0 xG, America Mineiro W 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ferroviaria W 72%, draw 18%, America Mineiro W 10%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.60.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferroviaria W 2–0 America Mineiro W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ferroviaria W72%fair 1.39 · @1.10
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @6.80
America Mineiro W10%fair 10.23 · @23.00
2.76Expected goals
2.05Ferroviaria W xG
0.71America Mineiro W xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
3–16%
From our goals model: Ferroviaria W 2.0 – 0.7 America Mineiro W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferroviaria W to win✓
72%
1.39
1.10
Double chance
Ferroviaria W or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
2.60 ▲
Draw no bet
Ferroviaria W (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Ferroviaria W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.30
First team to score
Ferroviaria W to score first
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Ferroviaria W ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferroviaria W / FT Ferroviaria W✓
45%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Ferroviaria W – last 3
DDL
31 Mar
vs Cruzeiro W
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Santos W
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ RB Bragantino W
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
America Mineiro W – last 3
LLL
1 Apr
@ Bahia W
1–3
L
24 Mar
@ Corinthians W
0–4
L
14 Feb
@ Palmeiras W
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferroviaria W and America Mineiro W.
What is the prediction for Ferroviaria W vs America Mineiro W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Ferroviaria W vs America Mineiro W?
On our numbers Ferroviaria W have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and America Mineiro W 10%.
How many goals will there be in Ferroviaria W vs America Mineiro W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferroviaria W vs America Mineiro W?
Our predicted score is Ferroviaria W 2–0 America Mineiro W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ferroviaria W vs America Mineiro W?
Ferroviaria W vs America Mineiro W (Brasileiro Women) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Luminosa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
