Gremio W vs Corinthians W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gremio W welcome Corinthians W to Francisco Novelletto Neto for a Brasileiro Women fixture on Friday 1 May (21:30 WAT). In the table, Gremio W are 8th, upper half, on 27 points after 17 matches; Corinthians W are 2nd (among the top four) with 38.
Current form
Gremio W, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bahia W, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Corinthians W, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Ferroviaria W, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Corinthians W, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Gremio W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gremio W 0.9 xG, Corinthians W 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gremio W 16%, draw 23%, Corinthians W 61%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gremio W 0–2 Corinthians W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gremio W16%fair 6.37 · @5.40
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.75
Corinthians W61%fair 1.63 · @1.55
2.77Expected goals
0.87Gremio W xG
1.90Corinthians W xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Gremio W 0.9 – 1.9 Corinthians W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Corinthians W to win✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Double chance
Corinthians W or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.75
Draw no bet
Corinthians W (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Corinthians W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Corinthians W to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Corinthians W ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Corinthians W / FT Corinthians W✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Gremio W – last 4
WLLL
28 Apr
@ Bahia W
2–0
W
20 Apr
@ São Paulo W
1–3
L
20 Feb
vs Palmeiras W
1–2
L
16 Feb
@ Santos W
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Corinthians W – last 6
WWWWWL
25 Apr
vs Ferroviaria W
3–1
W
21 Apr
@ Juventude W
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs RB Bragantino W
5–1
W
27 Mar
@ Botafogo W
3–1
W
24 Mar
vs America Mineiro W
4–0
W
14 Mar
@ Palmeiras W
2–3
L
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gremio W and Corinthians W.
What is the prediction for Gremio W vs Corinthians W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gremio W vs Corinthians W?
On our numbers Gremio W have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Corinthians W 61%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio W vs Corinthians W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gremio W vs Corinthians W?
Our predicted score is Gremio W 0–2 Corinthians W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Gremio W vs Corinthians W?
Gremio W vs Corinthians W (Brasileiro Women) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
