Atlético Mineiro W vs Fluminense W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fluminense W travel to face Atlético Mineiro W on Friday 1 May in the Brasileiro Women, with Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Atlético Mineiro W are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 17 matches; Fluminense W are 11th (lower half) with 26.
Current form
Atlético Mineiro W, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Botafogo W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Fluminense W, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Palmeiras W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Mineiro W 1.1 xG, Fluminense W 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Mineiro W 32%, draw 27%, Fluminense W 41%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Mineiro W 1–1 Fluminense W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Mineiro W32%fair 3.17 · @2.85
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.90
Fluminense W41%fair 2.44 · @2.50
2.40Expected goals
1.07Atlético Mineiro W xG
1.33Fluminense W xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Atlético Mineiro W 1.1 – 1.3 Fluminense W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fluminense W to win✗
41%
2.44
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.83
Draw no bet
Fluminense W (draw no bet)
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Mineiro W +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Fluminense W to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fluminense W / FT Fluminense W✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.64
–
Recent results
Atlético Mineiro W – last 5
WDLDL
28 Apr
vs Botafogo W
2–0
W
20 Apr
@ Santos W
1–1
D
30 Mar
vs São Paulo W
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Juventude W
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Corinthians W
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Fluminense W – last 5
LWLDD
21 Apr
vs Palmeiras W
1–2
L
1 Apr
vs Juventude W
1–0
W
26 Mar
@ Cruzeiro W
2–3
L
24 Mar
vs São Paulo W
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Corinthians W
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Mineiro W and Fluminense W.
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro W vs Fluminense W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atlético Mineiro W vs Fluminense W?
On our numbers Atlético Mineiro W have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fluminense W 41%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Mineiro W vs Fluminense W?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Mineiro W vs Fluminense W?
Our predicted score is Atlético Mineiro W 1–1 Fluminense W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Atlético Mineiro W vs Fluminense W?
Atlético Mineiro W vs Fluminense W (Brasileiro Women) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
