Corinthians W vs São Paulo W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 12 May the Brasileiro Women brings Corinthians W against São Paulo W at Neo Quimica Arena. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Corinthians W are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 17 matches; São Paulo W are 1st (leading the league) with 41. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Corinthians W, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gremio W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
São Paulo W, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Flamengo W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Corinthians W, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.3 for São Paulo W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Corinthians W 1.6 xG, São Paulo W 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Corinthians W 57%, draw 25%, São Paulo W 19%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Corinthians W 1–1 São Paulo W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Corinthians W57%fair 1.77 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.70
São Paulo W19%fair 5.32 · @6.20
2.62Expected goals
1.63Corinthians W xG
0.99São Paulo W xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Corinthians W 1.6 – 1.0 São Paulo W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Corinthians W to win✓
57%
1.77
1.50
Double chance
Corinthians W or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Corinthians W (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
São Paulo W +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Corinthians W to score first✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Corinthians W / FT Corinthians W✓
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
Corinthians W – last 6
WWWWWW
1 May
@ Gremio W
2–0
W
25 Apr
vs Ferroviaria W
3–1
W
21 Apr
@ Juventude W
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs RB Bragantino W
5–1
W
27 Mar
@ Botafogo W
3–1
W
24 Mar
vs America Mineiro W
4–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
São Paulo W – last 6
WDWWWD
5 May
vs Flamengo W
2–1
W
27 Apr
@ America Mineiro W
0–0
D
20 Apr
vs Gremio W
3–1
W
30 Mar
@ Atlético Mineiro W
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Palmeiras W
3–0
W
24 Mar
@ Fluminense W
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Corinthians W and São Paulo W.
What is the prediction for Corinthians W vs São Paulo W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Corinthians W vs São Paulo W?
On our numbers Corinthians W have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and São Paulo W 19%.
How many goals will there be in Corinthians W vs São Paulo W?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Corinthians W vs São Paulo W?
Our predicted score is Corinthians W 1–1 São Paulo W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Corinthians W vs São Paulo W?
Corinthians W vs São Paulo W (Brasileiro Women) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Neo Quimica Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
