Palmeiras W 73%Draw 18%Atlético Mineiro W 9%Expected goals 2.14 – 0.61
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPalmeiras W to win ✓73% · @1.15
Double chancePalmeiras W or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Palmeiras W vs Atlético Mineiro W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Tuesday 12 May: Palmeiras W v Atlético Mineiro W in the Brasileiro Women, played at Allianz Parque. In the table, Palmeiras W are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 17 matches; Atlético Mineiro W are 13th (lower half) with 16. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Palmeiras W, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Santos W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Atlético Mineiro W, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fluminense W, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Palmeiras W, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Atlético Mineiro W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palmeiras W 2.1 xG, Atlético Mineiro W 0.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palmeiras W 73%, draw 18%, Atlético Mineiro W 9%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palmeiras W 2–0 Atlético Mineiro W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palmeiras W73%fair 1.37 · @1.15
Draw18%fair 5.61 · @6.00
Atlético Mineiro W9%fair 10.70 · @15.00
2.76Expected goals
2.14Palmeiras W xG
0.61Atlético Mineiro W xG
51%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–16%
From our goals model: Palmeiras W 2.1 – 0.6 Atlético Mineiro W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras W to win✓
73%
1.37
1.15
Double chance
Palmeiras W or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Palmeiras W (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Palmeiras W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.25
First team to score
Palmeiras W to score first
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Palmeiras W ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras W / FT Palmeiras W✓
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Palmeiras W – last 6
DWDLWW
28 Apr
vs Santos W
0–0
D
21 Apr
@ Fluminense W
2–1
W
31 Mar
vs Flamengo W
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ São Paulo W
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Ec Vitoria W
6–0
W
14 Mar
vs Corinthians W
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atlético Mineiro W – last 6
DWDLDL
1 May
vs Fluminense W
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Botafogo W
2–0
W
20 Apr
@ Santos W
1–1
D
30 Mar
vs São Paulo W
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Juventude W
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Corinthians W
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palmeiras W and Atlético Mineiro W.
What is the prediction for Palmeiras W vs Atlético Mineiro W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Palmeiras W vs Atlético Mineiro W?
On our numbers Palmeiras W have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atlético Mineiro W 9%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras W vs Atlético Mineiro W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras W vs Atlético Mineiro W?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras W 2–0 Atlético Mineiro W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras W vs Atlético Mineiro W?
Palmeiras W vs Atlético Mineiro W (Brasileiro Women) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Parque.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
