Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✓43% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.29
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Monterrey welcome Cruz Azul to Estadio BBVA for a CONCACAF Champions League fixture on Wednesday 11 March (02:00 WAT).
Current form
Monterrey, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tigres UANL, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Cruz Azul, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Atletico San Luis, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.2 for Monterrey.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Monterrey 0–2 Cruz Azul.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monterrey 1.5 xG, Cruz Azul 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monterrey 34%, draw 23%, Cruz Azul 43%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterrey 1–1 Cruz Azul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monterrey34%fair 2.94 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.50
Cruz Azul43%fair 2.35 · @2.48
3.16Expected goals
1.48Monterrey xG
1.68Cruz Azul xG
65%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Monterrey 1.5 – 1.7 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers Monterrey have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cruz Azul 43%.
How many goals will there be in Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is Monterrey 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul (CONCACAF Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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