Los Angeles FC 55%Draw 22%LD Alajuelense 24%Expected goals 1.69 – 1.41
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLos Angeles FC to win ✗55% · @1.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.03
Los Angeles FC vs LD Alajuelense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
LD Alajuelense travel to face Los Angeles FC on Wednesday 11 March in the CONCACAF Champions League, with BMO Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 04:00 WAT.
Current form
Los Angeles FC, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Dallas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.6 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
LD Alajuelense, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over San Carlos, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Los Angeles FC, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.2 for LD Alajuelense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Los Angeles FC 1.7 xG, LD Alajuelense 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Los Angeles FC 55%, draw 22%, LD Alajuelense 24%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Los Angeles FC 1–1 LD Alajuelense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Los Angeles FC55%fair 1.82 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @5.20
LD Alajuelense24%fair 4.25 · @8.90
3.10Expected goals
1.69Los Angeles FC xG
1.41LD Alajuelense xG
57%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
2–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Los Angeles FC 1.7 – 1.4 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Los Angeles FC to win✗
55%
1.82
1.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.27
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Los Angeles FC (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
LD Alajuelense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
First team to score
Los Angeles FC to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Los Angeles FC / FT Los Angeles FC✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.03
–
Recent results
Los Angeles FC – last 5
WWWWW
8 Mar
vs FC Dallas
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Houston Dynamo
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Real Espana
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Inter Miami
3–0
W
18 Feb
@ Real Espana
6–1
W
2.6Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
LD Alajuelense – last 5
WWLLL
8 Mar
@ San Carlos
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs CS Cartagines
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Puntarenas FC
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Deportivo Saprissa
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Sporting San Jose
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Los Angeles FC and LD Alajuelense.
What is the prediction for Los Angeles FC vs LD Alajuelense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Los Angeles FC vs LD Alajuelense?
On our numbers Los Angeles FC have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and LD Alajuelense 24%.
How many goals will there be in Los Angeles FC vs LD Alajuelense?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Los Angeles FC vs LD Alajuelense?
Our predicted score is Los Angeles FC 1–1 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Los Angeles FC vs LD Alajuelense?
Los Angeles FC vs LD Alajuelense (CONCACAF Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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