EM Mahdia 59%Draw 24%Bouselem 17%Expected goals 1.57 – 0.83
59%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultEM Mahdia to win ✗59% · @1.48
Double chanceEM Mahdia or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.04
EM Mahdia vs Bouselem: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 22 February: EM Mahdia v Bouselem in the Ligue 2.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give EM Mahdia 1.6 xG, Bouselem 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – EM Mahdia 59%, draw 24%, Bouselem 17%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: EM Mahdia 1–0 Bouselem. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
EM Mahdia59%fair 1.70 · @1.48
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.40
Bouselem17%fair 5.93 · @6.50
2.40Expected goals
1.57EM Mahdia xG
0.83Bouselem xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: EM Mahdia 1.6 – 0.8 Bouselem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
EM Mahdia to win✗
59%
1.70
1.48
Double chance
EM Mahdia or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
EM Mahdia (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Bouselem +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
EM Mahdia to score first✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT EM Mahdia / FT EM Mahdia✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.04
–
Recent results
EM Mahdia – last 1
D
16 Feb
@ BS Bouhajla
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bouselem – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs CS Hammam-Lif
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between EM Mahdia and Bouselem.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win EM Mahdia vs Bouselem?
On our numbers EM Mahdia have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bouselem 17%.
How many goals will there be in EM Mahdia vs Bouselem?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for EM Mahdia vs Bouselem?
Our predicted score is EM Mahdia 1–0 Bouselem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is EM Mahdia vs Bouselem?
EM Mahdia vs Bouselem (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ES Hammam-Sousse3
CS Hammam-Lif3
Menzel Bourguiba1