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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ES Hammam-Sousse v Mégrine: numbers & prediction

Ligue 2 · Tunisia

Mégrine

ES Hammam-Sousse 54%Draw 24%Mégrine 22% Expected goals 1.39 – 1.10

55%

Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating

1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultES Hammam-Sousse to win ✓54% · @1.40

Double chanceES Hammam-Sousse or draw ✓78% · @1.06

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.64

ES Hammam-Sousse vs Mégrine: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 February the Ligue 2 brings ES Hammam-Sousse against Mégrine. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ES Hammam-Sousse 1.4 xG, Mégrine 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – ES Hammam-Sousse 54%, draw 24%, Mégrine 22%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: ES Hammam-Sousse 1–1 Mégrine. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ES Hammam-Sousse54%fair 1.87 · @1.40

Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.90

Mégrine22%fair 4.46 · @7.00

2.48Expected goals

1.39ES Hammam-Sousse xG

1.10Mégrine xG

49%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–19%

2–19%

0–08%

2–08%

From our goals model: ES Hammam-Sousse 1.4 – 1.1 Mégrine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	ES Hammam-Sousse to win ✓	54%	1.87	1.40
Double chance	ES Hammam-Sousse or draw ✓	78%	1.29	1.06
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	51%	1.98	–
Draw no bet	ES Hammam-Sousse (draw no bet) ✓	71%	1.42	–
Asian handicap	Mégrine +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.83	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	ES Hammam-Sousse to score first ✓	51%	1.95	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.27	–
Half-time / full-time	HT ES Hammam-Sousse / FT ES Hammam-Sousse ✓	26%	3.92	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	12%	8.64	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between ES Hammam-Sousse and Mégrine.

ES Hammam-Sousse vs Mégrine head-to-head page →

Ligue 2 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AS Kasserine	7	6	0	1	+7	18
2	EM Mahdia	7	5	2	0	+7	17
3	Ksour Essef	6	4	2	0	+6	14
4	M'saken	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	CS Chebba	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Bouchamma	7	4	1	2	-2	13
7	AS Soliman	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	Korba	7	3	3	1	+4	12
9	Jendouba Sport	7	3	3	1	+2	12
10	Mégrine	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	JS Kairouanaise	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	US Tataouine	7	3	2	2	-1	11
13	Kalaâ Sport	7	3	1	3	+1	10
14	Stade Soussien	7	3	1	3	+1	10
15	Sporting Ben Arous	7	2	3	2	+2	9
16	Ariana	7	2	2	3	0	8
17	Stade Gabesien	7	1	5	1	0	8
18	Sfax Railways	7	1	5	1	0	8
19	EGS Gafsa	7	2	1	4	-2	7
20	AS Agareb	7	1	4	2	-3	7
21	Redeyef	6	2	0	4	+2	6
22	Kerkennah	7	1	3	3	-2	6
23	Olympique du Kef	7	1	2	4	-3	5
24	Béni-Khalled	7	1	2	4	-4	5
25	CO Medenine	7	1	2	4	-7	5
26	BS Bouhajla	7	1	2	4	-7	5
27	AS Gabes	7	0	2	5	-5	2
28	Moknine	7	0	2	5	-9	2

More Ligue 2 predictions

League hub

EM Mahdia0

Bouselem0 159%1.48X24%3.40217%6.50 1.6–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 59%@1.53 ✓

CS Hammam-Lif3

M'saken0 154%1.53X27%3.50219%5.50 1.3–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.57 ✗

Menzel Bourguiba1

AS Agareb1 147%1.91X27%3.10226%3.75 1.3–1.1xG 1XMenzel Bourguiba or draw 74%@1.20 ✓

Kerkennah1

Sfax Railways2 138%2.20X30%3.00232%3.10 1.0–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✗

Sporting Ben Arous1

BS Bouhajla0 147%2.10X30%2.70223%3.75 1.3–0.6xG 1XSporting Ben Arous or draw 77%@1.20 ✓

US Tataouine2

CS Chebba1 154%1.40X24%3.90221%7.00 1.5–1.1xG 1US Tataouine to win 54%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ES Hammam-Sousse vs Mégrine?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win ES Hammam-Sousse vs Mégrine?

On our numbers ES Hammam-Sousse have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mégrine 22%.

How many goals will there be in ES Hammam-Sousse vs Mégrine?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ES Hammam-Sousse vs Mégrine?

Our predicted score is ES Hammam-Sousse 1–1 Mégrine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is ES Hammam-Sousse vs Mégrine?

ES Hammam-Sousse vs Mégrine (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.