Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTianjin Teda to win ✗54% · @1.64
Double chanceTianjin Teda or draw ✓80% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.47
Tianjin Teda vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chongqing Tongliang Long travel to face Tianjin Teda on Saturday 7 March in the Super League, with Olympic Sports Center Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 08:30 WAT. In the table, Tianjin Teda are 12th, lower half, on 31 points after 30 matches; Chongqing Tongliang Long are 10th (lower half) with 36.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tianjin Teda 1.4 xG, Chongqing Tongliang Long 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tianjin Teda 54%, draw 26%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 20%.
Lower-risk option: Tianjin Teda or draw (80%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.42 – longer than our fair 1.36, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tianjin Teda 1–0 Chongqing Tongliang Long. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tianjin Teda54%fair 1.86 · @1.64
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.85
Chongqing Tongliang Long20%fair 5.03 · @4.55
2.23Expected goals
1.39Tianjin Teda xG
0.84Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Tianjin Teda 1.4 – 0.8 Chongqing Tongliang Long expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tianjin Teda to win✗
54%
1.86
1.64
Double chance
Tianjin Teda or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.67
Draw no bet
Tianjin Teda (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Chongqing Tongliang Long +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.25
First team to score
Tianjin Teda to score first✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tianjin Teda / FT Tianjin Teda✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
Tianjin Teda
No recent results on record.
Chongqing Tongliang Long
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tianjin Teda and Chongqing Tongliang Long.
What is the prediction for Tianjin Teda vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Tianjin Teda vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
On our numbers Tianjin Teda have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chongqing Tongliang Long 20%.
How many goals will there be in Tianjin Teda vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tianjin Teda vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our predicted score is Tianjin Teda 1–0 Chongqing Tongliang Long, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Tianjin Teda vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Tianjin Teda vs Chongqing Tongliang Long (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Olympic Sports Center Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
