Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.62 – our chance 66% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultYunnan Yukun to win ✓63% · @1.64
Double chanceYunnan Yukun or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Jonoon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:35 WAT, Saturday 7 March: Yunnan Yukun v Qingdao Jonoon in the Super League, played at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium. In the table, Yunnan Yukun are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Qingdao Jonoon are 16th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yunnan Yukun 2.6 xG, Qingdao Jonoon 1.3 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yunnan Yukun 63%, draw 21%, Qingdao Jonoon 16%.
Lower-risk option: Yunnan Yukun or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.62 – the bookmaker implies 62%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yunnan Yukun 2–1 Qingdao Jonoon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yunnan Yukun63%fair 1.60 · @1.64
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.85
Qingdao Jonoon16%fair 6.17 · @4.55
3.84Expected goals
2.57Yunnan Yukun xG
1.27Qingdao Jonoon xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Yunnan Yukun 2.6 – 1.3 Qingdao Jonoon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yunnan Yukun to win✓
63%
1.60
1.64
Double chance
Yunnan Yukun or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Draw no bet
Yunnan Yukun (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Yunnan Yukun -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.62 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
First team to score
Yunnan Yukun to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Yunnan Yukun ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yunnan Yukun / FT Yunnan Yukun✓
44%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Yunnan Yukun
No recent results on record.
Qingdao Jonoon
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yunnan Yukun and Qingdao Jonoon.
What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Jonoon?
On our numbers Yunnan Yukun have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Qingdao Jonoon 16%.
How many goals will there be in Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Jonoon?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Our predicted score is Yunnan Yukun 2–1 Qingdao Jonoon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Jonoon (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
