Henan Jianye vs Shenyang Urban: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shenyang Urban travel to face Henan Jianye on Friday 1 May in the Super League, with Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Henan Jianye are 14th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 30 matches; Shenyang Urban are 13th (lower half) with 29. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Henan Jianye, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Shanghai Shenhua, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Shenyang Urban, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sichuan Jiuniu, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Henan Jianye 1.7 xG, Shenyang Urban 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Henan Jianye 53%, draw 25%, Shenyang Urban 22%.
Lower-risk option: Henan Jianye or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Henan Jianye 1–1 Shenyang Urban. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Henan Jianye53%fair 1.88 · @1.88
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.50
Shenyang Urban22%fair 4.50 · @3.65
2.77Expected goals
1.68Henan Jianye xG
1.09Shenyang Urban xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Henan Jianye 1.7 – 1.1 Shenyang Urban expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Henan Jianye to win✓
53%
1.88
1.88
Double chance
Henan Jianye or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.67
Draw no bet
Henan Jianye (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Shenyang Urban +1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Henan Jianye to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Henan Jianye / FT Henan Jianye✓
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Henan Jianye – last 6
LDLDWW
26 Apr
vs Shanghai Shenhua
0–3
L
22 Apr
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Wuhan Three Towns
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Yunnan Yukun
2–1
W
7 Mar
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Shenyang Urban – last 6
LLWWLL
26 Apr
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
0–1
L
22 Apr
vs Dalian Zhixing
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Beijing Guoan
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Tianjin Teda
3–0
W
14 Mar
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
0–1
L
7 Mar
@ Shandong Luneng
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Henan Jianye and Shenyang Urban.
What is the prediction for Henan Jianye vs Shenyang Urban?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Henan Jianye vs Shenyang Urban?
On our numbers Henan Jianye have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shenyang Urban 22%.
How many goals will there be in Henan Jianye vs Shenyang Urban?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Henan Jianye vs Shenyang Urban?
Our predicted score is Henan Jianye 1–1 Shenyang Urban, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Henan Jianye vs Shenyang Urban?
Henan Jianye vs Shenyang Urban (Super League) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
