Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultShandong Luneng to win ✗62% · @1.49
Double chanceShandong Luneng or draw ✓82% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Youth Island: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shandong Luneng welcome Qingdao Youth Island to Jinan Olympic Sports Center for a Super League fixture on Friday 1 May (12:35 WAT). In the table, Shandong Luneng are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; Qingdao Youth Island are 8th (upper half) with 39.
Current form
Shandong Luneng, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Qingdao Jonoon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Qingdao Youth Island, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chongqing Tongliang Long, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Shandong Luneng, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Qingdao Youth Island.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shandong Luneng 2.0 xG, Qingdao Youth Island 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shandong Luneng 62%, draw 21%, Qingdao Youth Island 18%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shandong Luneng 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shandong Luneng62%fair 1.63 · @1.49
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.10
Qingdao Youth Island18%fair 5.65 · @5.70
2.90Expected goals
1.97Shandong Luneng xG
0.93Qingdao Youth Island xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Shandong Luneng 2.0 – 0.9 Qingdao Youth Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shandong Luneng to win✗
62%
1.63
1.49
Double chance
Shandong Luneng or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Draw no bet
Shandong Luneng (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Shandong Luneng -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
First team to score
Shandong Luneng to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Shandong Luneng ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shandong Luneng / FT Shandong Luneng✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Shandong Luneng – last 6
LWDLWW
26 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
1–4
L
21 Apr
@ Tianjin Teda
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Dalian Zhixing
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Beijing Guoan
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Shenyang Urban
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Qingdao Youth Island – last 6
DDDLWL
26 Apr
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Henan Jianye
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Chengdu Better City
1–5
L
21 Mar
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shandong Luneng and Qingdao Youth Island.
What is the prediction for Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Youth Island?
On our numbers Shandong Luneng have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Qingdao Youth Island 18%.
How many goals will there be in Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Youth Island?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our predicted score is Shandong Luneng 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Youth Island (Super League) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
