Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: SHANGHAI SIPG to win @ 2.08 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSHANGHAI SIPG to win ✗54% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Qingdao Jonoon vs SHANGHAI SIPG: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Saturday 2 May: Qingdao Jonoon v SHANGHAI SIPG in the Super League, played at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium. In the table, Qingdao Jonoon are 16th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 30 matches; SHANGHAI SIPG are 5th (upper half) with 45. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Qingdao Jonoon, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Shandong Luneng, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
SHANGHAI SIPG, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chongqing Tongliang Long, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qingdao Jonoon 1.1 xG, SHANGHAI SIPG 2.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qingdao Jonoon 24%, draw 22%, SHANGHAI SIPG 54%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: SHANGHAI SIPG to win @2.08 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qingdao Jonoon 1–2 SHANGHAI SIPG. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qingdao Jonoon24%fair 4.15 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
SHANGHAI SIPG54%fair 1.85 · @2.08
3.18Expected goals
1.11Qingdao Jonoon xG
2.08SHANGHAI SIPG xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Qingdao Jonoon 1.1 – 2.1 SHANGHAI SIPG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SHANGHAI SIPG to win✗
54%
1.85
2.08 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Draw no bet
SHANGHAI SIPG (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Qingdao Jonoon +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
SHANGHAI SIPG to score first✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
SHANGHAI SIPG ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SHANGHAI SIPG / FT SHANGHAI SIPG✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Qingdao Jonoon – last 6
WLDDWL
26 Apr
vs Shandong Luneng
4–1
W
22 Apr
@ Shanghai Shenhua
0–2
L
17 Apr
vs Qingdao Youth Island
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ Tianjin Teda
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Henan Jianye
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Hangzhou Greentown
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
SHANGHAI SIPG – last 6
LDWLWL
21 Apr
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–2
L
17 Apr
@ Shandong Luneng
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Yunnan Yukun
2–1
W
20 Mar
@ Dalian Zhixing
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Qingdao Youth Island
4–1
W
7 Mar
vs Henan Jianye
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qingdao Jonoon and SHANGHAI SIPG.
What is the prediction for Qingdao Jonoon vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Qingdao Jonoon vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
On our numbers Qingdao Jonoon have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SHANGHAI SIPG 54%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Jonoon vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Jonoon vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Jonoon 1–2 SHANGHAI SIPG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Jonoon vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Qingdao Jonoon vs SHANGHAI SIPG (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.