Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Beijing Guoan to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBeijing Guoan to win ✗45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.38
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Beijing Guoan travel to face Yunnan Yukun on Saturday 2 May in the Super League, with Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Yunnan Yukun are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Beijing Guoan are 3rd (among the top four) with 50.
Current form
Yunnan Yukun, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Dalian Zhixing, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Beijing Guoan, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sichuan Jiuniu, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yunnan Yukun 1.7 xG, Beijing Guoan 2.1 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yunnan Yukun 34%, draw 21%, Beijing Guoan 45%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.38.
Price worth noting: Beijing Guoan to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Beijing Guoan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yunnan Yukun34%fair 2.98 · @2.52
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.65
Beijing Guoan45%fair 2.22 · @2.40
3.74Expected goals
1.66Yunnan Yukun xG
2.08Beijing Guoan xG
68%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Yunnan Yukun 1.7 – 2.1 Beijing Guoan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win✗
45%
2.22
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Draw no bet
Beijing Guoan (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Yunnan Yukun +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.25
First team to score
Beijing Guoan to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Beijing Guoan ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.72
–
Recent results
Yunnan Yukun – last 6
WLLWLL
26 Apr
@ Dalian Zhixing
3–1
W
21 Apr
@ Chengdu Better City
1–2
L
17 Apr
vs Tianjin Teda
0–3
L
12 Apr
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
4–3
W
4 Apr
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Henan Jianye
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Beijing Guoan – last 6
WDLLDL
21 Apr
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Hangzhou Greentown
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Chengdu Better City
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ Shenyang Urban
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Shanghai Shenhua
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Shandong Luneng
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yunnan Yukun and Beijing Guoan.
What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?
On our numbers Yunnan Yukun have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Beijing Guoan 45%.
How many goals will there be in Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?
Our predicted score is Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Beijing Guoan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?
Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
