Value bet: Tianjin Teda to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTianjin Teda to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:35 WAT, Tuesday 19 May: Tianjin Teda v Henan Jianye in the Super League, played at TEDA Football Stadium. In the table, Tianjin Teda are 12th, lower half, on 31 points after 30 matches; Henan Jianye are 14th (in the drop zone) with 28. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tianjin Teda, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hangzhou Greentown, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Henan Jianye, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Chengdu Better City, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tianjin Teda 1.4 xG, Henan Jianye 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tianjin Teda 40%, draw 27%, Henan Jianye 33%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Tianjin Teda to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tianjin Teda 1–1 Henan Jianye. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tianjin Teda40%fair 2.48 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.05
Henan Jianye33%fair 3.04 · @2.45
2.49Expected goals
1.39Tianjin Teda xG
1.10Henan Jianye xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Tianjin Teda 1.4 – 1.1 Henan Jianye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tianjin Teda to win✗
40%
2.48
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.77
Draw no bet
Tianjin Teda (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Henan Jianye +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Tianjin Teda to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tianjin Teda / FT Tianjin Teda✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Tianjin Teda – last 6
DDLWDL
10 May
@ Hangzhou Greentown
1–1
D
5 May
@ Qingdao Youth Island
1–1
D
21 Apr
vs Shandong Luneng
1–2
L
17 Apr
@ Yunnan Yukun
3–0
W
12 Apr
vs Qingdao Jonoon
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Shanghai Shenhua
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Henan Jianye – last 6
LDWLDL
9 May
@ Chengdu Better City
0–3
L
5 May
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–1
D
1 May
vs Shenyang Urban
4–0
W
26 Apr
vs Shanghai Shenhua
0–3
L
22 Apr
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tianjin Teda and Henan Jianye.
What is the prediction for Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye?
On our numbers Tianjin Teda have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Henan Jianye 33%.
How many goals will there be in Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye?
Our predicted score is Tianjin Teda 1–1 Henan Jianye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye?
Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at TEDA Football Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
