Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Beijing Guoan travel to face Qingdao Youth Island on Tuesday 19 May in the Super League, with Guzhenkou University Sports Center the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Qingdao Youth Island are 8th, upper half, on 39 points after 30 matches; Beijing Guoan are 3rd (among the top four) with 50.
Current form
Qingdao Youth Island, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wuhan Three Towns, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Beijing Guoan, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with SHANGHAI SIPG, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Beijing Guoan, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Qingdao Youth Island.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qingdao Youth Island 1.0 xG, Beijing Guoan 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qingdao Youth Island 25%, draw 25%, Beijing Guoan 50%.
Lower-risk option: Beijing Guoan or draw (75%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Beijing Guoan or draw (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Beijing Guoan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qingdao Youth Island25%fair 3.99 · @3.50
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.25
Beijing Guoan50%fair 2.01 · @2.02
2.73Expected goals
1.04Qingdao Youth Island xG
1.69Beijing Guoan xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Qingdao Youth Island 1.0 – 1.7 Beijing Guoan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win✗
50%
2.01
2.02
Double chance
Beijing Guoan or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.67
Draw no bet
Beijing Guoan (draw no bet)
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Qingdao Youth Island +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Beijing Guoan to score first
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan✗
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Qingdao Youth Island – last 6
DDDDDD
10 May
vs Wuhan Three Towns
1–1
D
5 May
vs Tianjin Teda
1–1
D
1 May
@ Shandong Luneng
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Henan Jianye
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Beijing Guoan – last 6
DWDWDL
10 May
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
2–2
D
6 May
vs Dalian Zhixing
3–0
W
2 May
@ Yunnan Yukun
3–3
D
21 Apr
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Hangzhou Greentown
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Chengdu Better City
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qingdao Youth Island and Beijing Guoan.
What is the prediction for Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan?
Our pick is Beijing Guoan or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan?
On our numbers Qingdao Youth Island have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Beijing Guoan 50%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Beijing Guoan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan?
Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Guzhenkou University Sports Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
