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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shandong Luneng v Qingdao Jonoon: numbers & prediction

Super League · China · Jinan Olympic Sports Center
3–1
FT
Shandong Luneng 67%Draw 21%Qingdao Jonoon 12% Expected goals 2.43 – 1.01
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultShandong Luneng to win ✓67% · @1.40
Double chanceShandong Luneng or draw ✓88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.48
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46

Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shandong Luneng welcome Qingdao Jonoon to Jinan Olympic Sports Center for a Super League fixture on Friday 14 August (12:35 WAT). In the table, Shandong Luneng are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; Qingdao Jonoon are 16th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Shandong Luneng, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tianjin Teda, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Qingdao Jonoon, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Shanghai Shenhua, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Shandong Luneng, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.0 for Qingdao Jonoon.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Qingdao Jonoon 4–1 Shandong Luneng.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shandong Luneng 2.4 xG, Qingdao Jonoon 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shandong Luneng 67%, draw 21%, Qingdao Jonoon 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shandong Luneng 2–1 Qingdao Jonoon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shandong Luneng67%fair 1.50 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.90
Qingdao Jonoon12%fair 8.25 · @5.75
3.44Expected goals
2.43Shandong Luneng xG
1.01Qingdao Jonoon xG
60%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: Shandong Luneng 2.4 – 1.0 Qingdao Jonoon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShandong Luneng to win ✓67%1.501.40
Double chanceShandong Luneng or draw ✓88%1.141.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.651.48
Draw no betShandong Luneng (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapShandong Luneng -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.171.09
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.471.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗53%1.891.83
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.401.35
First team to scoreShandong Luneng to score first68%1.46–
Half-time resultShandong Luneng ahead at half-time ✓51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shandong Luneng / FT Shandong Luneng ✓46%2.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.46–

Recent results

Shandong Luneng – last 6

WWLDLW
9 Augvs Tianjin Teda2–1W
1 Aug@ SHANGHAI SIPG1–0W
26 Julvs Henan Jianye1–2L
21 Jul@ Wuhan Three Towns1–1D
18 Jul@ Dalian Zhixing1–3L
10 Julvs Yunnan Yukun4–3W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Qingdao Jonoon – last 6

LLLLLL
8 Augvs Shanghai Shenhua0–1L
2 Aug@ Qingdao Youth Island0–2L
25 Julvs Tianjin Teda0–2L
21 Jul@ Shanghai Shenhua1–4L
17 Jul@ Henan Jianye1–5L
14 Jul@ Hangzhou Greentown2–3L
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Qingdao Jonoon v Shandong Luneng4–1
Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dalian Zhixing3016410+552
2Chengdu Better City301578+1552
3Beijing Guoan3015105+2250
4Shandong Luneng301659+1147
5SHANGHAI SIPG301488+1945
6Yunnan Yukun3012711-243
7Shanghai Shenhua3015510+1740
8Qingdao Youth Island308157-1039
9Hangzhou Greentown3012612+137
10Chongqing Tongliang Long3081210-436
11Sichuan Jiuniu309615-1233
12Tianjin Teda3011811+231
13Shenyang Urban308517-1629
14Henan Jianye3081012-828
15Wuhan Three Towns3051213-1222
16Qingdao Jonoon306420-2815

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon?

On our numbers Shandong Luneng have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Qingdao Jonoon 12%.

How many goals will there be in Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Our predicted score is Shandong Luneng 2–1 Qingdao Jonoon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon (Super League) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.