Value bet: Chongqing Tongliang Long to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultQingdao Youth Island to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Qingdao Youth Island welcome Chongqing Tongliang Long to Guzhenkou University Sports Center for a Super League fixture on Friday 14 August (13:00 WAT). In the table, Qingdao Youth Island are 8th, upper half, on 39 points after 30 matches; Chongqing Tongliang Long are 10th (lower half) with 36. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Qingdao Youth Island, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Henan Jianye, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Chongqing Tongliang Long, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to SHANGHAI SIPG, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jul 2026) it ended Chongqing Tongliang Long 2–0 Qingdao Youth Island. The last 2 head-to-heads: Qingdao Youth Island 0 wins, Chongqing Tongliang Long 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qingdao Youth Island 1.4 xG, Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qingdao Youth Island 45%, draw 22%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 33%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Chongqing Tongliang Long to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qingdao Youth Island45%fair 2.23 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Chongqing Tongliang Long33%fair 3.06 · @3.35
2.51Expected goals
1.38Qingdao Youth Island xG
1.13Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Qingdao Youth Island 1.4 – 1.1 Chongqing Tongliang Long expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qingdao Youth Island to win✗
45%
2.23
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.73
Draw no bet
Qingdao Youth Island (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Chongqing Tongliang Long +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Qingdao Youth Island to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qingdao Youth Island / FT Qingdao Youth Island✗
What is the prediction for Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
On our numbers Qingdao Youth Island have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chongqing Tongliang Long 33%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long (Super League) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Guzhenkou University Sports Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
