Value bet: Hangzhou Greentown to win @ 1.92 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHangzhou Greentown to win ✓56% · @1.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hangzhou Greentown welcome Yunnan Yukun to Huizhou Olympic Stadium for a Super League fixture on Saturday 29 August (12:00 WAT). In the table, Hangzhou Greentown are 9th, lower half, on 37 points after 30 matches; Yunnan Yukun are 6th (upper half) with 43.
Current form
Hangzhou Greentown, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sichuan Jiuniu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Yunnan Yukun, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Beijing Guoan, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Momentum favours Yunnan Yukun, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Hangzhou Greentown.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hangzhou Greentown 2.2 xG, Yunnan Yukun 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hangzhou Greentown 56%, draw 20%, Yunnan Yukun 23%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: Hangzhou Greentown to win @1.92 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hangzhou Greentown 2–1 Yunnan Yukun. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hangzhou Greentown56%fair 1.78 · @1.92
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.90
Yunnan Yukun23%fair 4.28 · @3.20
3.56Expected goals
2.19Hangzhou Greentown xG
1.37Yunnan Yukun xG
67%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Hangzhou Greentown 2.2 – 1.4 Yunnan Yukun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hangzhou Greentown to win✓
56%
1.78
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.50
1.30
Draw no bet
Hangzhou Greentown (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Yunnan Yukun +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.90
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.38
First team to score
Hangzhou Greentown to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Hangzhou Greentown ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hangzhou Greentown / FT Hangzhou Greentown✓
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Hangzhou Greentown – last 6
DLLWDW
22 Aug
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Chengdu Better City
2–3
L
1 Aug
@ Beijing Guoan
1–2
L
26 Jul
vs Dalian Zhixing
3–2
W
18 Jul
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–1
D
14 Jul
vs Qingdao Jonoon
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Yunnan Yukun – last 6
DWWLWD
22 Aug
@ Beijing Guoan
3–3
D
15 Aug
vs Dalian Zhixing
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Chengdu Better City
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Tianjin Teda
2–3
L
26 Jul
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
4–3
W
21 Jul
vs Chengdu Better City
3–3
D
2.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hangzhou Greentown and Yunnan Yukun.
What is the prediction for Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
On our numbers Hangzhou Greentown have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Yunnan Yukun 23%.
How many goals will there be in Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
Our predicted score is Hangzhou Greentown 2–1 Yunnan Yukun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Huizhou Olympic Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
